The Math

The Math

I know there's some folks that shouted “YES!” at the results of the 2015 Democratic primary for Governor... but... why? Did you actually think we had a chance to win? Lmao... how fucking stupid are you? In fact, are you so stupid, that you'd throw mud, and run a hit piece on us, just because you're afraid of us winning?

This very thing happened to Ronnie Lee Smith in Gallatin County a few years ago. He ran as a 3^rd party Libertarian candidate, who eventually Gallatin County put 3 felonies on, because of his views on stopping Cannabis Prohibition. A few years later, he died of Leukemia. In prison, they don't give you the hemp oil that cures your cancer. Instead, they deprive/murder you.

Ronnie Lee Smith was murdered because the powers-that-be in Gallatin County thought he had a chance at winning the election, so they set him up, and was able to get some corrupt prosecutor or Judge to file a warrant out for Ronnie's arrest, and then... he died/they killed him.

That was in 2010. I believe Ronnie Lee Smith won less than 1% of the vote. The good ole boys private pocket tyranny in Gallatin County showed how stupid they were about politics, and how insecure they were about the way they have set their own political system up.

Just the idea of Ronnie Lee Smith scared the local political establishment there. Just the thought of his existence.

The insecure will lash out at the mere mention of possible crack in the dam. Honest folks can take a breath, find out where the criticism is coming from, and then straighten the whole matter out. Fascist psychopaths can't do that. If you say the drug war has failed, or that pot isn't as bad as alcohol, a fascist psychopath's head may just explode with that sliver of truth.

Only 1 poll got our 21.22% right, and that was the first poll that came out. That was when you should have known what our chances were. Polls, while all of the other ones were off, because they were predicting 13%, was still low enough for you to understand that we stayed long shot candidates the whole time.

Plus we had no money, and the only media attention we got was hostile media attention (minus a few notable exceptions). No money... no media... and polling 13-20%... yeah... um... do you dumb fascist assholes go around pushing kids off swingsets too? Take candy from babies?

While, sure, a weird change of winds could have produced a different result... maybe Kentuckians just all of a sudden started to pay attention to politics, googled all of the candidate's name, studied their views, compared and contrasted it with their own, and made a thoughtful articulate determination of the best candidate...

Are you fucking serious? Gtfo here.

In politics, 60/40 is a landslide, so... 80/20... the media not running the headline, “Conway Nukes Young”, is a victory.

xxx

3,175,905 Kentuckians are registered to vote, but 2,776,709 Kentuckians either didn't understand how democracy works, wasn't taught civics in Kentucky's free government schools, or parliamentary procedure, or was ignorant to the fact that millions of American soldiers have lost their lives for us to get the right to vote, and didn't even bother to do the least of their civic duties, and turnout, and go vote.

Why is Kentucky #1 in child deaths in child abuse cases? #1 for poverty, cancer, pollution, mental illness, and addiction? Why is there an overabundance of stupid behavior, poor education, and healthcare?

Because only 399,196 Kentuckians voted, and 2.8 million Kentuckians didn't.

Why did only 12.6% of registered Kentuckians go vote? Why did 2.8 million Kentuckians give a big fat middle finger to their ol' Kentucky home, and collectively, loudly, unanimously, shout “FUCK YOU!” to all the soldiers who fought and died for our right to vote? Kentuckians basically pissed on Abraham Lincoln's face by not voting, and on the graves of every dead Revolutionary that established this nation.

Shitty media, shitty politicians, shitty choices, shitty electoral system (IRV anybody?), shitty education, and stupid shitty ignorant-ass people in general (who are, ironically, loud-mouthed assholes)... 2.8 million Kentuckians couldn't be bothered to google the names of the candidates, and do a little research on their own. The culture of ignorance is disgusting and embarrassing around here.

Also add shitty poverty to my above “shitty” list, since some folks don't have the Internet to educate themselves, so they're dependent on the shitty media to tell them what to think.

But most of the 2.8 million Kentuckians did not give a fuck about their own State. We know that about 400,000 Kentuckians do care about their own State.

12.6%.

If you don't vote, you don't matter. Also, if you don't vote, you're not doing any goddamned thing.

Apathy in a democracy is worse than tyranny. With a brutal tyrant who just takes power, we all know he's a piece of shit, and we expect a totalitarian fascist police state to be foisted upon us. In a fake democracy (12.6% isn't a functioning democracy... that's 87.4% who didn't give a fuck to go vote; all politicians elected in Kentucky's 2015 primary election have no democratic legitimacy), the brutal tyrant just took the power anyways, but it's under the cloak, the illusion, of democratic legitimacy. Now violent cops and rapist Louisville jailers can just say: “If you don't like me raping, pillaging, and beating you, then write your congressman.” or “Tell it to the Judge”, as if we actually have some sayso in the matter.

George Carlin said that the ones who do not vote aren't to blame for the political leadership. The blame lies squarely on the shoulders of those who do vote, since it's them who put the corrupt into power. There's an inherent logic to that.

Regardless, I'm of the opinion that Kentuckians aren't voting, not because they're making some principled stand, and they're protesting, but because they're stupid, or aren't informed about the candidates, or had to work that day, and didn't have time to take off in order to do the required research, and go vote.

Election Day should be a national holiday, and most bosses are fascist oppressors anyways...

Election Day should be a national holiday.

2.8 million Kentuckians couldn't be bothered to go vote because they wanted to watch Honey Boo-boo, and beat up their kids if they walked in front of the TV as they were laughing, snorting, and relating, to Honey Boo-boo.

Sidenote: If you're not a politician, then, by default, that makes you a citizen. And if you pretend that you're neither a politician, and that some mysterious way, you're not a citizen either, well, that's just because you're an uppity yuppity mf'ity—my shit don't stink—holier than thou—I'm better than you snob type. By claiming that you're not “political”, because somehow you're able to escape the “organization of people” (that being the definition of politics), then really, honestly, you're an asshole. You're an irresponsible taker, a mooch, a parasite. A piece of shit. You're nothing but a goddamned ignorant gaping blackhole of lost hope and opportunity, engorging upon the energies and souls of the good people in Kentucky.

“We don't talk about politics around here boy.” Well, that's censorship, and censorship is political, Mein Czar. And when you censor others, indirectly, you're also censoring yourself.

Okay. Now that I got that out of the way. Where was I?

There's 1 million poor people in Kentucky because those 1 million poor folks are too stupid to go vote, or to run for office.

There's nothing for young adults to do in Kentucky because young adults do not vote, or do not get involved in politics.

Everything's political. Getting a job is political. They organize people in all of these buildings around here.

By me appealing to young adults and to the poor, I might as well tried to get Martians and squirrels to vote for me too. I would have had the same affect.

90% of Owsley and Clay County citizens are Republicans, and 90% are on the dole, on some kind of public assistance, on the teat, on welfare, with their stupid parasitic ignorant illiterate hands out. They're chickens voting for Colonel Sanders, because they pretend they are Colonel Sanders, or will be, one day. Instead of knowing where they are situated in Kentucky's class system, or at least, publicly acknowledging their stance. They hate gays, Blacks, Mexicans, minorities, and even the very welfare they get, and will sacrifice their own economies for their bigotry.

The government helps Colonel Sanders out with subsidies. Colonel Sanders thinks he's a great businessman because of his savviness in getting that corporate welfare handout.

xxXxx

1.6% of white supremacist Plantation owners were able to get a majority of slaveless Southerners to fight and die for the 1.6%'s right to own slaves.

Sound familiar?

So 12.57% of Kentuckians care about their Commonwealth, and their kids' and neighbor's futures, and 87% don't.

37,887 Kentuckians voted for me, specifically. Lol I'm not sure why they voted for me and Geoff. Perhaps it was for us. Or maybe it was against Jack. Or maybe they didn't know what they were doing, and just blindly voted for our cool long ass names.

Only the first poll came close to what actually happened. Every poll afterwards showed Young getting only 13%, so 21.22% is an accomplishment. I was hoping to get closer to the 50% threshold, but 21.22%... I'll take it, especially for my very cheap “tap dancing” campaign.

Whenever two choices are presented, there's a 50/50 shot of getting picked. Now, if you don't have money to go door-to-door, county-to-county, from Fulton to Pike County, Calloway to Boone County, shaking hands, in order to get some votes, and don't ask anybody to vote for you, and in fact, tell folks to NOT vote for you, since they disagree with your position on gay marriage, or anti-racism, then it seems to go 80/20.

I got 20% of the vote in 2010 too just by dicking around on the Internet. 21.22% is what we got on May 19, 2015, to be exact, and Al Cross was mocking Conway for not being able to surpass an 80% threshold... but 21.22% means that there were 37,887 Kentucky Democrats who wanted something different than what the Democratic establishment put forth, which vindicates Geoff and I. While not strong candidates who were going to win the nomination, we were a voice for honest progressive Democrats, who support ObamaCare, the EPA, social spending, empowerment of the poor, Unions, personal freedom, privacy, solidarity, democracy, and a host of other issues.

Maybe, by random chance, most likely, 20% of the people are just going to vote for the “other guy”, the underdog, anyways, regardless.

Charles Lovett, the progressive alternative to Alison Grimes, got 26.75% with 48,083 votes. He laid low. All he had was a smooth website, and listed several progressive ideas for Kentucky's electoral system.

xxXxx

Raw Data:

Conway/Overly = 140,627

Young/Masters = 37,887 (21.22%)

Total Democratic Voters = 178,514

Total registered voters in Ky = 3,175,905

Total Ky registered voters who protested May 19, 2015 primary, and didn't vote = 2,776,709

Bevin = 70,479

GOP voters total = 214,187

Total votes in Governor's Race = 399,196 (12.6% turnout)

Conway's total votes (140,627) beats Bevin's total votes (70,479), but if we assumed straight party tickets in November, then Bevin's Republicans beat Conway's Democrats overall (214,187 to 178,514).

Charles Lovett got 26.75% with 48,083, losing to Alison Grimes, but with a remarkable showing, considering all he had was a website.

Daniel Grossberg got 18,284 votes (11.19%), taking last place of 5 in the Democratic Treasurer's race

Young and I, Lovett, and Grossberg were unapologetic progressives. There are still a few progressives still living (coping) in Kentucky.

xxx

Using total registered voters, if we expected 100% turnout in November, which is stupid to think Kentucky would ever get anywhere near that threshold, we see that, overall, Jack Conway only got 4.43% of the total possible vote and Matt Bevin only got 2.22% of the total possible vote.

I correctly predicted turnout to be at 13%. I got that number from the 2012 Presidential Primary.

I figured that Kentucky's Governor's race is the only thing going on in 2015, politically, since there's only 2 other elections for Governor in this country, Louisiana and Mississippi, and these 3 State Executive races will come just on the heels of the 2016 Presidential Election, so therefore, turnout would be higher.

For November 3, 2015, we're still on the heels of the Presidential Election, and all 7 statewide executive positions are competitive (7 Republican vs. Democrat races).

In the 2012 General Election, total active Kentucky voters numbered 1,797,212. This is the number I will use as a predictor for the number of voters on November 3, 2015.

Assuming straight party tickets in November (which really isn't a good assumption, but the numbers are small enough to allow for it), Bevin gets the 214,187 Republican votes and Conway gets the 178,514 Democratic votes.

Drew Curtis will probably appear on the ballot in November, but Terrill Gatewood Galbraith probably won't.

Drew Curtis will, at the least, “Nader” Bevin or Conway, which makes him politically significant.

At the most, Curtis can win.

214,187 Republicans and 178,514 Democrats make up a small percentage of the expected 1,797,212 votes.

178,514 is 10% of 1,797,212, and 214,187 is 12% of 1,797,212.

Bevin, Conway, and Curtis will have to work hard to get the majority of 1,797,212 votes, which is 898,607 votes.

Bevin needs to get 684,420 more voters to win November 3, 2015.

Conway needs to get 720,092 to get a majority of Kentucky voters to win on November 3, 2015.

Curtis needs to get the full 898,607 votes to win... actually, Curtis only needs 33.4% to win. So, if, or when, he gets into the race, he'll need to get 599,071 votes. 

But Curtis is pro-Prohibition. He thinks potheads going to jail is just. He may be to the right of Jack Conway on this issue. Matt Bevin said he'd legalize it, and have a doctor's prescription... 

Could you imagine having to get a doctor's prescription for Drew's favorite drink, alcohol? "But Doctor! Without this Budweiser, I will die!" Yeah... okay. Plus with the crackdown by the government, even good doctors who wrote those prescriptions to let folks blow off some steam, would be fucked. 

Prohibition was wrong then, and it's wrong now. 

[Memez Below]